Biology, Psychology & Medicine
  Discrete Math
  Data Analysis

    10 - 12 Grades
This volume is part of the monograph series of the New Liberal Arts Program (1980-1992), a project of the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation. The NLA Program had the goal of assisting in the introduction of quantitative reasoning and concepts of modern technology within liberal education. The Program was based on the conviction that college graduates should have been introduced to both areas if they are to live in the social mainstream and participate in the resolution of policy issues. The Center for Mathematics and Quantitative Education is delighted to make these monographs available.


John G. Truxal
SUNY at Stony Brook

The use of probability is important in a wide variety of problems: e.g., assessment of the quality of a manufacturing operation, evaluation of the risk associated with a technological change, or determination of the best decisions when options are available.

In this monograph, the author has collected a number of examples and added mini-case studies which have proved successful in the college classroom. The text presumes no previous knowledge of probability or advanced mathematics. These examples are dividcd into two broad categories:

(1) Probability -- basic concepts and simple examples illustrating these ideas

(2) Decision Problems -- where the probabilistic concepts are applied to realistic situations.

This volume includes several examples from epidemiology and other examples of social interest. All of the mathematics is probability in an applied setting.