Math 40 is an introduction to continuous probability and statistical inference for data analysis. Topics include the theory of estimation and the theory of hypothesis testing using normal theory t-tests and nonparametric tests for means and medians, tests for variances, chi-square tests, and an introduction to the theory of the analysis of variance and regression analysis. Students need to know one of the following programming languages: R, Python, or Matlab.

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Lecture 25

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Homework 7 due date is extended; it is now due at 11:59 pm March 10.

Lecture 24

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Your final is in a week. The Final will cover topics up to 7.7 (confidence interval). Please focus on the following four big topics

Lecture 23

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In lecture 23, we discussed t-tests (one-sample, paired two-sample, unpaired two-sample). We also discussed variance tests (one-sample using chi-square, t...

Lecture 22

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Homework 7 is due at 11:59 pm on  March 8.

Lecture 21

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Today we finished MLE and started hypothesis testing.

Lecture 20

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After discussing R^2 in the linear regression model (explained variance/total variance), we started looking at the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE; 6.10...

Lecture 19

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In lecture 19, we spent the whole time for the linear regression and ‘lm’ command in R. Do not forget that the regression is the conditional expectation t...

Lecture 18

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In lecture 18, we finished 6.4.3 (multidimensional MSE) and 6.4.4 (consistency) and started sections 6.5 and 6.6. As calculations are getting heavier, we ...

Lecture 17

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We are going to use X-hours (Feb 18) from 12:30 to 1:20 pm to learn visualization in R (qqplot etc). One of your classmates, Anoop (senior, Econ) will lea...

Lecture 16

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Homework 5 is on Canvas, which is due at 11:59 pm Feb 22.

Lecture 15

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This course is not open to the public anymore.

Lecture 13

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In HW4, you are okay to skip the second part of Q7. Today I also gave some hints on Q8 and Q9. Please check the recorded video for your reference.

Lecture 12

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In lecture 12, we discussed bivariate normal distributions (3.6) and optimal portfolio allocations (3.8). Please note that your textbook has several typos...

Lecture 11

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I am going to hold X-hour Feb 4 12:30 - 1:20 pm tomorrow (Feb 4, Thursday)

Lecture 10

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First of all, homework 3 due date is extended. It is now due at Feb 2 11:59 pm.

Lecture 09

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Due to an emergent event, I have office hours x 5:30-6:00 pm today (Jan 29, 2021; this change is only for today).

Lecture 08

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First of all, the midterm test is scheduled for Feb 10. You will have a 24-hour time window to finish the test. I have not decided how many problems there...

Lecture 07

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I extended your homework 2 due date. Homework 2 is now due at Jan 26 (Tuesday) 11:59 pm. 

Lecture 06

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In lecture 06, we discussed normal and lognormal distributions. In addition to examples 2.34 and 2.32, we solved exercises 2.7.4 and 2.7.6.

Homework 02

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Your second homework is due at Jan 25 (Monday), 11:59 pm EDT.

Lecture 05

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In lecture 05, we discussed exponential and gamma distributions, and their connections with Poisson distributions. At the end of the lecture, we briefly d...

Lecture 04

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In lecture 04, we solved some of your homework problems (3 and 9).

Office hours

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Office hours MW 9:30 - 10:15 am F 1:00 - 1:30 pm

Lecture 03

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We discussed Poisson distributions and solved exercise 1.6.9, one of your homework problems.

Lecture 02

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Today, we talked about discrete random variables (section 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, and 1.6). Also, in the lecture, we solved exercise 1.6.4. Sometime later, I will ...

Homework 01

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Your first homework is due at Jan 19, 11:59 pm EDT.

First-day lecture

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When you send me an email regarding Math 40, please put [m40w21] in the title of your email.